All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Penn Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Cougar Kickoff Classic |
New Prairie Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conference |
New Prairie Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/29 |
9/5 |
9/8 |
9/19 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
| Team Rating |
685 |
790 |
745 |
660 |
704 |
722 |
679 |
714 |
698 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
737 |
679 |
645 |
660 |
722 |
679 |
714 |
669 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Penn Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Cougar Kickoff Classic |
New Prairie Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conference |
New Prairie Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 167 |
Joshua Baltes |
12 |
16:51 |
16:58 |
16:27 |
17:02 |
16:57 |
17:06 |
16:59 |
16:50 |
16:40 |
16:46 |
| 621 |
Ethan Walden |
11 |
17:52 |
18:40 |
|
|
|
17:59 |
17:30 |
17:50 |
|
|
| 628 |
Tristan Balmer |
12 |
17:52 |
17:46 |
17:42 |
17:42 |
17:56 |
17:46 |
18:02 |
18:12 |
17:46 |
|
| 711 |
Daniel Reshan |
11 |
18:00 |
|
18:21 |
17:52 |
17:53 |
18:11 |
17:56 |
18:10 |
17:49 |
|
| 712 |
Brenden Oden |
11 |
18:00 |
18:17 |
18:05 |
17:40 |
17:41 |
18:02 |
18:07 |
17:59 |
18:13 |
|
| 949 |
Alex Cicero |
12 |
18:21 |
18:52 |
18:41 |
18:31 |
|
18:26 |
18:12 |
18:09 |
18:14 |
|
| 1,024 |
Dan O'Laughlin |
11 |
18:26 |
18:16 |
19:07 |
18:03 |
18:25 |
18:21 |
18:52 |
18:24 |
18:24 |
|
| 1,079 |
Kyle Newcomb |
11 |
18:31 |
18:40 |
18:59 |
18:14 |
18:39 |
18:47 |
|
|
18:17 |
|
|
Roman Piergalski |
11 |
19:21 |
19:09 |
19:20 |
19:43 |
19:15 |
19:25 |
|
|
|
|
|
Dan Lukowski |
11 |
19:23 |
19:01 |
19:12 |
19:44 |
18:55 |
20:25 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jonathon Mondientz |
12 |
19:26 |
20:15 |
|
20:43 |
18:57 |
18:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
Worek Bowman |
12 |
19:34 |
19:34 |
19:29 |
18:49 |
19:53 |
19:45 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
13.2 |
322 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.8 |
3.7 |
5.4 |
8.7 |
14.0 |
16.0 |
16.0 |
18.2 |
13.7 |
1.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
5.0 |
123 |
|
3.1 |
6.3 |
16.7 |
34.6 |
39.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
4.7 |
122 |
|
3.7 |
10.2 |
27.5 |
26.1 |
32.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joshua Baltes |
30.6% |
108.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30.6% |
30.6% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joshua Baltes |
100% |
24.3 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Ethan Walden |
100% |
101.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
28.7% |
| Tristan Balmer |
100% |
101.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
28.3% |
| Daniel Reshan |
100% |
111.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.9% |
| Brenden Oden |
100% |
112.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.8% |
| Alex Cicero |
100% |
134.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
| Dan O'Laughlin |
100% |
140.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joshua Baltes |
100% |
6.7 |
0.2 |
3.0 |
10.2 |
9.5 |
9.6 |
9.8 |
10.8 |
8.6 |
7.7 |
8.0 |
6.2 |
5.2 |
4.3 |
3.7 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ethan Walden |
100% |
32.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
4.2 |
|
99.9% |
| Tristan Balmer |
100% |
32.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
|
99.9% |
| Daniel Reshan |
100% |
39.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
|
99.9% |
| Brenden Oden |
100% |
39.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
99.6% |
| Alex Cicero |
100% |
50.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
88.6% |
| Dan O'Laughlin |
100% |
52.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
79.8% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joshua Baltes |
6.0 |
0.3 |
2.8 |
12.2 |
10.9 |
11.0 |
12.5 |
9.8 |
10.0 |
9.1 |
7.7 |
6.4 |
4.7 |
2.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ethan Walden |
25.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
4.7 |
5.4 |
6.7 |
3.8 |
5.9 |
5.7 |
5.5 |
| Tristan Balmer |
25.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.8 |
3.8 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
| Daniel Reshan |
31.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
| Brenden Oden |
31.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
| Alex Cicero |
40.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
| Dan O'Laughlin |
41.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
